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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMonday's stock moves more about yields than Iran-Israel tensions, says Annex Wealth's JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss where the threat from geopolitical tensions is, the categories of equities Jacobsen favors, and more.
Persons: Wealth's Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen, Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management Locations: Iran, Israel
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly rose Wednesday, encouraged by a record rally on Wall Street that was led by technology companies. Speculation is rife that Japan's central bank is getting ready to end its super-easy monetary policy, which has set interest rates below zero, and start raising rates. Photos You Should See View All 60 ImagesOn Wall Street, the S&P 500 jumped 1.1% to top its all-time high set last week. The worse-than-expected data kept the door closed for long-sought cuts to interest rates at the Federal Reserve meeting next week. On Wall Street, big technology stocks did heavy lifting.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, , Tim Waterer, Brian Jacobsen, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, ” Larkin, , Dow, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Bank of, KCM, U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury, Oracle, Nvidia Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Wall
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCash on the sidelines never truly leaves it's reallocated, says Annex's Brian JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and Ron Insana, chief market strategist at Dynasty Financial Partners, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss where investors cash should go if the Fed cuts rates.
Persons: it's, Annex's Brian Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen, Ron Insana Organizations: Wealth Management, Financial Partners
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Annex’s Brian Jacobsen and Dynasty’s Ron InsanaBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and Ron Insana, chief market strategist at Dynasty Financial Partners, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss where investors cash should go if the Fed cuts rates.
Persons: Annex’s Brian Jacobsen, Dynasty’s Ron Insana Brian Jacobsen, Ron Insana Organizations: Wealth Management, Financial Partners
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA recession wouldn't be as bad as CFOs expect, says Annex's Brian JacobsenCNBC's Mike Santoli and Brian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss CNBC's CFO survey results and markets.
Persons: Annex's Brian Jacobsen, Mike Santoli, Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI gaining 0.1% on the month and increasing 3.3% on a year-on-year basis. The rally was due to rising investor belief that the Federal Reserve will now be less likely to hike interest rates at future meetings. LINDSAY ROSNER, HEAD OF MULTI-SECTOR FIXED INCOME INVESTING, GOLDMAN SACHS ASSET MANAGEMENT, NEW YORK“Today's Core CPI print was below expectations. "The Fed will not want to step back from its hawkish stance yet; the annual core rate at 4% is still some way away from target. THOMAS HAYES, CHAIRMAN AT HEDGE FUND GREAT HILL CAPITAL, NEW YORK"We're happy to see both headline and core CPI come in lower than expected.
Persons: Hannah Beier, ” BEN JEFFERY, GREG BASSUK, ” “, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, we’ll, ” CHRIS ZACCARELLI, LINDSAY ROSNER, GOLDMAN, ” MATTHEW MISKIN, JOHN, , ” STUART COLE, Kashkari, Powell, PETER ANDERSEN, ANDERSEN, it's, THOMAS HAYES, OLIVER PURSCHE, It’s, Organizations: Reading, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, Treasury, Markets, BMO, Reserve, CPI, ALLIANCE, Fed, Global Finance, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, WALTHAM, MA, WISCONSIN, CHARLOTTE, GOLDMAN SACHS, JOHN HANCOCK, BOSTON, LONDON
Prices of futures contracts that settle to the Fed's target rate were pricing in only about a 5% chance the Fed will raise its policy rate any higher than the current 5.25% to 5.50% range. Core inflation, which excludes energy and food, rose 4%, the slowest pace in more than two years. "You can say goodbye to the rate hiking era," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. The Fed is now seen as more likely than not to deliver its first rate cut in May, and end 2024 with the short-term benchmark rate a full percentage point lower than today, based on rate futures pricing. "The Fed for now will maintain its tightening bias, erring on the side of caution," she wrote.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Jerome Powell, aren't, Kathy Bostjancic, Ann Saphir, Lucia Mutikani, Chuck Mikolajczak, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Energy, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, Nationwide, Thomson Locations: U.S
REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Falling Treasury yields helped launch an explosive rebound in stocks and lifted U.S. government bonds from 16-year lows. Evidence of the dynamic between yields and financial conditions could be seen in last week’s 0.5% decline in the Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index, its sixth biggest weekly drop since 1990. Policymakers have largely refrained from verbally pushing back on the easing in financial conditions during a flurry of appearances by policymakers this week. Analysts at TD Securities, however, believe further easing in Treasury yields will eventually become a "double-edged sword." To be sure, not every scenario sees the Fed in a higher-for-longer posture if Treasury yields continue falling.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Brian Jacobsen, Jacobsen, CME's, Sameer Samana, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Goldman, Treasury, Annex Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, International Monetary Fund, TD Securities, Fed, Wells, Investment Institute, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, United States, China, Samana, U.S
MARKET REACTION:STOCKS: U.S. stock futures (.SPX) rose after the jobs data.BONDS: U.S. Treasury 10-year yield dropped to three-week low after the jobs report, last yield down at 4.562%. FOREX: The dollar index fell after the weaker-than-expected jobs report. There's not a lot of breadth in the markets and there's not a lot of breadth in the job gains anymore." Back month revisions were substantial as the BLS has consistently overestimated job gains this year, unlike last year where they consistently underestimated the gains. "This is a good sign that the labor market is weakening and is playing into the hands of the Fed.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Detroit's, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, That's, PETER CARDILLO Organizations: REUTERS, United Auto Workers, UAW, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Treasury, BLS, Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WISCONSIN, September's
The benchmark 10-year yield , which was last at 4.9813%, has climbed some 35 basis points this week, driven by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates higher for longer and mounting U.S. fiscal concerns. "The move up has been driven by the Fed leaving the market as a price insensitive buyer. The dollar/yen pair tends to closely track changes in long-term Treasury yields, particularly in the 10-year maturity. In the broader currency market, the U.S. dollar edged higher, supported by elevated Treasury yields. The New Zealand dollar edged 0.35% lower to $0.5829, after having slid to an over 11-month low of $0.5816 on Thursday.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, he's, Carol Kong, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Annex Wealth Management, U.S, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, China, lockstep
LONDON (Reuters) - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached 5% for the first time since 2007, marking a fresh milestone in a relentless push higher for government borrowing costs. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidFurther signs of resilience in the U.S. economy help explain the latest sell off in Treasuries, as traders have unwound bets the U.S. Federal Reserve would soon start to lower interest rates. He highlighted what everyone has seen with the strong economic growth data and the retail sales figure that came out. Just like how the market forced the Fed to stop quantitative tightening in 2019, it might be forcing the Fed to rethink QT today.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, MICHAEL SCHULMAN, EL, , NOAH, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, QUINCY KROSBY, Powell Organizations: Treasury, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Federal, Fed, NORTH Locations: New York City, U.S, Treasuries, EL SEGUNDO, CALIFORNIA, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, NORTH CAROLINA, Ukraine, Russia
Watch CNBC’s full interview with Annex Wealth's Brian Jacobsen
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'Power Lunch' to discuss markets and rising yields.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen, Steve Liesman Organizations: Wealth Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will be slow to react to a slowing economy, says Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'Power Lunch' to discuss markets and rising yields.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen, Steve Liesman Organizations: Wealth Management
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. Demand for safe-haven assets sent gold prices to a more than two-month high, up over 1%, while the U.S. dollar also strengthened. Stronger crude prices pushed energy stocks (.SPNY) 1% higher, while industrials (.SPLRCI) and materials (.SPLRCM) led the decline in major S&P 500 sectors. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 3.90-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.69-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 20 new highs and 149 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Joe Biden, Biden, Treasuries aren't, Brian Jacobsen, homebuilding, Chris Giamo, Morgan Stanley's, New York's John Williams, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, Patrick Harker, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Sruthi Shankar, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tuesday United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S ., Annex Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, TD Bank, Abbott Laboratories, Consumer, Procter, Gamble, Tesla, Netflix, . Philadelphia Fed, Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Biden, China . United Airlines Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, New, China, Bengaluru
Attack on Israel boosts appeal of gold, safe-haven assets
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Amir Cohen Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 8 (Reuters) - The violence in Israel that erupted this weekend is prompting a move into safe-haven assets as investors closely watch events in the Middle East to gauge the geopolitical risk to markets. Gunmen from the Palestinian group Hamas entered Israel in an unprecedented attack on Saturday. Western countries, led by the United States, denounced the attack and pledged support for Israel. Rising geopolitical risk would see buying in assets like gold and the dollar , and boost demand for U.S. Treasuries, which have been sold off aggressively, analysts said over the weekend. "It seems Wall Street has a new geopolitical risk after Israel declared war with Hamas," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda in New York.
Persons: Amir Cohen, Treasuries, Peter Cardillo, Cardillo, Stocks, Israel, Edward Moya, Brian Jacobsen, Iran’s, Jacobsen, " Jacobsen, David Kotok, Kevin McCarthy, Kotok, Megan Davies, Lisa Shumaker, Mark Porter, Schmollinger Organizations: REUTERS, Gunmen, Hamas, Israel, U.S, Spartan Capital Securities, U.S ., Analysts, Annex Wealth Management, Cumberland Advisors, Republicans, Representatives Locations: Gaza, Ashkelon, Israel, United States, Asia, New York, Iran, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Sarasota , Florida
Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepts rockets launched from the Gaza Strip, as seen from Ashkelon in southern Israel October 7, 2023. Gunmen from the Palestinian group Hamas entered Israel in an unprecedented attack on Saturday. Western countries, led by the United States, denounced the attack and pledged support for Israel. Rising geopolitical risk could see buying in assets like gold and the dollar and potentially boost demand for U.S. Treasuries, which have been sold off aggressively, analysts said. Washington has been trying to strike a deal that would normalise ties between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Persons: Amir Cohen, Peter Cardillo, Stocks, Brian Jacobsen, Jacobsen, David Kotok, Kevin McCarthy, Kotok, Megan Davies, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: REUTERS, Gunmen, Hamas, Israel, U.S, Spartan Capital Securities, U.S ., Annex Wealth Management, Iran’s, Cumberland Advisors, Republicans, Representatives, Thomson Locations: Gaza, Ashkelon, Israel, United States, Iran, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Sarasota , Florida
Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepts rockets launched from the Gaza Strip, as seen from Ashkelon in southern Israel October 7, 2023. Gunmen from the Palestinian group Hamas entered Israel in an unprecedented attack on Saturday. Western countries, led by the United States, denounced the attack and pledged support for Israel. Rising geopolitical risk could see buying in assets like gold and the dollar and potentially boost demand for U.S. Treasuries, which have been sold off aggressively, analysts said. Washington has been trying to strike a deal that would normalise ties between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Persons: Amir Cohen, Peter Cardillo, Stocks, Brian Jacobsen, Jacobsen, David Kotok, Kevin McCarthy, Kotok, Megan Davies, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: REUTERS, Gunmen, Hamas, Israel, U.S, Spartan Capital Securities, U.S ., Annex Wealth Management, Iran’s, Cumberland Advisors, Republicans, Representatives, Thomson Locations: Gaza, Ashkelon, Israel, United States, Iran, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Sarasota , Florida
Stocks broadly got a boost after yields in the Treasury market eased further off their highest levels in more than a decade. Yields fell after a report showed the measure of inflation that the Federal Reserve prefers to use was a smidgen cooler last month than economists expected. It charged this week to its highest level since 2007, up from 3.50% in May and just 0.50% in 2020. The latest monthly update on the U.S. jobs market is due next week, with a couple of important reports on inflation coming the following week. Big Tech stocks were helping to lead the market, as they're seen as some of the biggest beneficiaries from easier yields in the bond market.
Persons: it’s, , Brian Jacobsen, doesn’t bode, it's, Brent, Schlumberger, Matt Ott, Elaine Kurtenbach Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nike, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Annex Wealth Management, Wonder Group, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Exxon Mobil, AP Business Locations: North America, U.S, Europe, Asia
The S&P 500 (.SPX) tumbled 2.9% this week, its biggest weekly decline since March. High Treasury yields dull the allure of stocks by offering investors an attractive payout on an investment seen as virtually risk free. The S&P 500 entered what has historically been its weakest 10-day stretch of the year on Sept. 18, according to BofA Global Research. Meanwhile, a drawn out government shutdown could aggravate concerns over U.S. government gridlock and send Treasury yields even higher. He noted that the S&P 500 remains above its 200-day moving average and there have been few signs of investors fleeing to safety.
Persons: Charlie Ripley, Brian Jacobsen, , , Fitch, Keith Lerner, Adam Turnquist, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Investors, BoFA, Allianz Investment Management, Treasury, Annex Wealth Management, BofA Global Research, Societe Generale, LPL Financial, Thomson
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed raising rates by just 25 basis points could push us into recession, says Kevin MahnKevin Mahn, president and CIO of Hennon and Walsh Asset Management, and Brian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, join ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss the impact of the Fed’s decision.
Persons: Kevin Mahn Kevin Mahn, Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Fed, Hennon, Walsh Asset Management, Wealth Management
Fed policymakers at the median still see the central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate peaking this year in the 5.50%-5.75% range, just a quarter of a percentage point above the current range. I do think that they'll remain data dependent and you'll probably hear that from Powell at the 2:30 press conference and going forward as well. So yes, they're talking about higher rates for longer, but it's really the economy that matters. This is because when the Fed announces an interest rate increase, credit card interest rates typically follow shortly thereafter, which may result in larger minimum monthly payments for credit card holders. While the decision not to raise interest rates this time round mitigates that for now, more interest rate increases may be on the horizon.
Persons: Jerome Powell, GARRETT MELSON, presser, GINA BOLVIN, Powell, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, KARL SCHAMOTTA, GENNADIY GOLDBERG, it's, TOM MARTIN, MICHELE RANERI Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, PPI, OF, TOM, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: BOSTON, Powell, WISCONSIN, TORONTO, U.S, ATLANTA, CHICAGO
U.S. retail sales also climbed 0.6% last month, against estimates of a 0.2% rise, while initial jobless claims for the latest week fell to 220.000. "We've been waiting to see exactly which of these inflation data trends would kind of knock the market off its axis. "It's likely that while the Federal Reserve won't love the August inflation data, it also is soft enough that they likely won't react to it either. ROBERT PAVLIK, SENIOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER, DAKOTA WEALTH, CONNECTICUT"Most of the rise in prices is coming from energy. "I still believe we have seen the last of the rate hikes, but there is a possibility small that November still has the potential to bring another rate hike.
Persons: Robert Graham, King, King of Prussia, Mark Makela, SAMEER SAMANA, WELLS, We've, haven't, GREG BASSUK, PETER ANDERSEN, ANDERSEN, ROBERT PAVLIK, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Reuters, CHARLOTTE, Federal, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: Prussia, United States, King, King of Prussia , Pennsylvania, U.S, WELLS FARGO, NORTH CAROLINA, BOSTON, DAKOTA, CONNECTICUT, WISCONSIN
Market reactions to Powell speech
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
"It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to our 2% goal, and we will do so," Powell said. "August has been a difficult month for the market, so it is hungry for news that will help reverse the trend. Investors are hanging on to every word, but the main takeaway is that Powell signaled that the Fed would raise rates if needed. Rather than last year's short but brutal speech, Powell opted for a longer and calmer speech. KARL SCHAMOTTA, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, CORPAY, TORONTO"On balance, this is a modestly less hawkish speech than markets had feared.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, CHRISTOPHER HODGE, MICHAEL GREEN, ANDRE BAKHOS, CARSTEN BRZESKI, Ann Saphir, Christine, Lagarde, ” JOSEPH LAVORGNA, , ” STUART COLE, ” QUINCY KROSBY, there's, DAVID WAGNER, Jackson, BRIAN JACOBSEN, patting, KARL SCHAMOTTA, Bernanke, Draghi Organizations: U.S . Federal, Federal, NFP, Fed, ING, Kansas City, REUTERS, CHIEF, CPI, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, JERSEY, FRANKFURT, Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, NIKKO, LONDON, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA, CINCINNATI , OHIO, WISCONSIN, TORONTO
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed has 'no good reason' to hike rates, says Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenJulie Biel, portfolio manager at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, and Brian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss how current Fed rates compare to historic highs, the case for the Fed to raise rates further, and tips for finding durable competitive equities.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen Julie Biel, Kayne Anderson, Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management, Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Kayne Anderson Rudnick's Julie Biel and Annex Wealth's Brian JacobsenJulie Biel, portfolio manager at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, and Brian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss how current Fed rates compare to historic highs, the case for the Fed to raise rates further, and tips for finding durable competitive equities.
Persons: Kayne Anderson, Julie Biel, Brian Jacobsen Julie Biel, Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management, Fed
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